
Over the next few weeks, Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in five States – Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Manipur and Goa. As parties prepare for the upcoming elections, we take a look at the electoral trends in these states over the past 25 years. We see that electoral fortunes in some states have fluctuated widely. The electoral mandate in UP has varied over the last 25 years. Five different parties -- Congress, Janata Dal, BJP, SP and BSP have been the single largest party in the Assembly at some point in time. In Punjab, the Akalis and the Congress have alternately controlled the government. In Uttarakhand, the 2007 elections saw the BJP take over control from the Congress. In Manipur and Goa, Congress has been dominant player in elections. In both states, it emerged as the single largest party in all but one election since 1984. In Manipur, the Congress lost this status to the Manipur State Congress Party (MSCP), a splinter group of the Congress in 2000. In Goa, it lost this status to BJP in 2002. The results of Uttar Pradesh elections will have the highest impact on national politics. The state has 80 out of 543 elected seats in Lok Sabha and 31 out of 231 elected seats in Rajya Sabha. The results could give an indication of the prospects for these parties in the next general elections, and may also change the composition of Rajya Sabha over the next few years. Given that there are five parties (BSP, SP, BJP, Congress and RLD) with a significant base in the state, the possibilities of post poll arrangements are also wide open. For more details, see our Vital Stats.
On November 28, 2012, the Comptroller and Auditor General submitted its report on the implementation of the Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission (JNNURM). According to the report most of the projects initiated under JNNURM have not been completed. For instance with respect to urban infrastructure projects, only 231 projects out of the 1298 sanctioned projects have been completed. Similarly, with respect to housing projects, only 22 of the 1517 projects have been completed. Some of the other key recommendations of the report are:
The need and objectives of JNNURM According to the 2011 census India’s urban population has increased from 286 million in 2001 to 377 million in 2011 . With the increase in urban population, there is a requirement to improve the urban infrastructure and improve the service delivery mechanisms. With these specific objectives in mind, the central government launched the Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission 2005-2006. The aim of the Mission is to encourage reforms and fast track planned development of identified cities (such as cities with a population of more than 1 million as per the 2001 census). JNNURM has two main components namely : (i) Urban Infrastructure and Governance and (ii) Urban Infrastructure Development for Small and Medium Towns. The duration of JNNURM was from 2005-06 to 2011-12. However, as the projects have not been completed the Government has extended its duration until March 2014. Funds for JNNURM The funds for JNNURM are provided through the Additional Central Assistance. This implies that the funds are provided as grants to the states directly from the centre. In the 2012 Union Budget, the central government has allocated Rs 12,522 crore for JNNURM. This represents around 10 % of the total central assistance through the different schemes to states and union territories in 2012-13. As on June 30 2012, 554 projects at a total cost of Rs 62,253 crore have been sanctioned under the Urban Infrastructure and Governance sub-mission of JNNURM. The table below shows the status of the sanctioned JNNURM projects in the different states. State wise status of the projects under JNNURM (as on August 6, 2012)
Name of State | Total Allocation (Rs Lakh) | Number of sanctioned projects | Completed Projects |
Andhra Pradesh | 2,11,845 | 52 | 18 |
Arunachal Pradesh | 10,740 | 3 | NA |
Assam | 27,320 | 2 | NA |
Bihar | 59,241 | 8 | NA |
Chandigarh | 27,087 | 3 | NA |
Chattisgarh | 24,803 | 1 | NA |
Delhi | 2,82,318 | 23 | 4 |
Goa | 12,094 | 2 | NA |
Gujarat | 2,57,881 | 72 | 40 |
Haryana | 32,332 | 4 | NA |
Himachal Pradesh | 13,066 | 5 | NA |
Jammu & Kashmir | 48,836 | 5 | NA |
Jharkhand | 94,120 | 5 | NA |
Karnataka | 1,52,459 | 47 | 22 |
Kerala | 67,476 | 11 | NA |
Madhya Pradesh | 1,32,850 | 23 | 7 |
Maharashtra | 5,50,555 | 80 | 21 |
Manipur | 15,287 | 3 | NA |
Meghalaya | 15,668 | 2 | NA |
Mizoram | 14,822 | 4 | NA |
Nagaland | 11,628 | 3 | NA |
Orissa | 32,235 | 5 | NA |
Punjab | 70,775 | 6 | 1 |
Puducherry | 20,680 | 2 | NA |
Rajasthan | 74,869 | 13 | 2 |
Sikkim | 10,613 | 2 | NA |
Tamil Nadu | 2,25,066 | 48 | 12 |
Tripura | 14,018 | 2 | NA |
Uttar Pradesh | 2,76,941 | 33 | 4 |
Uttarakhand | 40,534 | 14 | NA |
West Bengal | 3,21,840 | 69 | 15 |
Source: Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission; PRS.